Resilinc Special Report
Chinese New Year 2026 Supply Chain Forecast and Preparedness Report
Chinese New Year (CNY) 2026 will once again test global supply chains as factories shut down across key manufacturing regions, creating cascading effects that ripple through production schedules and logistics networks. The timing is predictable, but companies without a clear preparation strategy still risk significant operational disruptions and cost overruns. This special report explores how businesses can anticipate and manage these challenges through strategic planning in supply chain and data-driven risk management. Engaging suppliers’ early matters. So does forecasting demand well ahead of February 2026 and using digital visibility platforms to track where vulnerabilities exist in real time. With disciplined preparation and proactive coordination, supply chain leaders can use this supply chain forecast to turn an annual pressure point into an opportunity to demonstrate resilience and agility under constraint.
Key Insights:
- While the official public holiday lasts for about 8 days, most factories are fully closed for at least 2 weeks. It can take up to a month to return to full production capacity after the holiday, companies should plan for a disruption window of about 4–6 weeks
- Ocean container shipping spot rates have surged by $700–$900 amid escalating U.S.–China trade tensions, driving up pre–CNY 2026 freight costs and signaling tighter capacity across major Asia–U.S. routes
- Major ports in China such as Shanghai and Shenzhen are already facing congestion and container shortages ahead of the holiday season, with current delays estimated at 2-3 days depending on the port
